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As we react to the predictions that epidemiological models make, changing the ways we act and go about our lives, those estimates can appear totally off. But if a model’s predictions end up being wrong, that might mean it’s done exactly the job it was supposed to.

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Sources:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/wo…
https://www.ft.com/content/67e6a4ee-3…
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
http://www-sop.inria.fr/members/Ian.J…
https://www.nature.com/articles/d4158…
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/impe…
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united…
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/…